Most of 22406 went up after 2000, the typical owner home in 2004, and plenty of houses from that era were built with a bonus room over the garage. It’s the room the duct system serves last: the longest run, a roof above, garage air below. On the 40-odd days a year NOAA’s Fredericksburg station, five miles south of the two ZIPs’ center, reaches 90 or hotter, that’s the room nobody wants to sit in. A head in it on its own outdoor unit settles the argument without rebalancing the rest of the house.
Falmouth is the opposite case. Half the homes in the Census place around the village predate 1980, and a house that old has often grown: a family room out back, an enclosed porch, a garage made into a bedroom. The ductwork rarely followed. Because a mini split is a heat pump, the new room gets heat as well as cooling, which counts in a place where January lows average 25.
Across 22405 about one owner home in five dates from the 1970s, when central air often went into houses laid out around a furnace. The bedrooms at the far end of those runs are the classic second zone.
Stafford’s permit FAQ lists new electrical wiring or circuits as permit work, and a mini split needs its own circuit, so plan on the County’s paperwork for that part. In 22406 some 1,670 homes sit in buildings of five units or more, and there the County applies its commercial permitting rules while the association decides where an outdoor unit may hang. The County also notes that an HOA’s approval doesn’t take the place of a permit.