Census table B25117 lumps heat pumps in with every other electric system, so how many of the ZIP’s 660 owner homes have one isn’t a number it gives. In detached houses of this age, a heat pump with backup strips is the likely setup. A replacement means a new outdoor unit and a new air handler; the ductwork stays, so its condition decides whether the new pair performs.
At Warrenton 3 SE, the closest long record, January averages a high near 42 and a low near 25, and Fauquier County sizes heating to a 17 degree design night. Below freezing a heat pump has less heat to draw from the air, and the strips in the air handler cover the gap. They draw hard, so the size of the backup and the breaker feeding it belong in the quote.
In the roughly three in ten Broad Run owner homes that burn propane, a heat pump may share the house with a propane furnace: the heat pump covers the mild months and the furnace the coldest nights. A new heat pump leaves that furnace where it is. A furnace nearing the end of its life is the moment to ask for the furnace and air conditioner range, $8,898 to $23,000, beside the heat pump’s.
Ice and snow reach the outdoor unit here. A glaze of ice was reported at Broad Run on February 1 and 2, 2011, an ice storm on February 14 and 15, 2016 left 0.2 to 0.3 inch, and a volunteer gauge about three miles south-southwest logged 14 inches from the February 2014 storm. The outdoor unit wants height above the snow and distance from limbs.