Cook Inlet holds most of the off-post houses with 22060 mail, and Fairfax County’s dwelling records date them tightly: 51 built in 2002, 106 in 2003, 101 in 2004, every one over a full basement, every lot connected to gas. In a house like that the water heater is usually a 40 or 50 gallon gas tank standing in the basement near the furnace, venting up through the house. A tank that came with the house has passed its twentieth birthday, and most tank water heaters are done well before that. If the label on yours still reads 2002, 2003 or 2004, price the replacement now, before the tank picks the day.
Because it burns gas, the swap takes a Fairfax County permit even for an identical model, and that permit is already inside the $3,379 to $5,485 range. If the old tank quits outright, Virginia lets the new one go in first with the paperwork right behind it, so nobody waits days for hot water.
FEMA’s flood map puts Cook Inlet and the Backlick Road houses in Zone X, minimal flood hazard, and the USGS elevation service puts Cook Inlet around 120 feet above sea level, well up from the tidal river. So a creek over its banks isn’t the usual worry. Groundwater is. Fairfax County’s soil survey maps Cook Inlet on clay that takes water in very slowly, with the water table as close as two feet down, and after a long rain that ground stays soaked against the basement walls. NOAA’s storm records show what a heavy rain does here: on June 28, 2016, Route 1 flooded and closed at Belvoir Court. When water comes up through a basement floor, the water heater is usually the first appliance standing in it. Check the sump pump too; one that ran nonstop and still lost ground gets replaced.
Backlick Road is a different water heater. With gas unavailable to nearly every lot there, the choice is an electric tank, $2,757 to $5,493 installed, or propane on the gas row if a propane tank sits in the yard. About half of those houses have no basement, so the heater lives in a closet or utility room on the main floor, where the pan under it and the line draining that pan decide where a leak ends up. On post, The Villages at Belvoir repairs and replaces water heaters in its homes; residents there put in a service request with The Villages.