Hail up to ping pong ball size fell near Catharpin on August 18, 2011, and a second report that afternoon reached golf ball size. Stones like that dent the thin aluminum fins on an outdoor coil, and bent fins choke the airflow the unit needs to shed heat. If your condenser has dents or combed-flat patches, a unit that struggles in July may be showing damage from a storm years back.
Thunderstorms are hard on the electrical side. The June 22, 2020 storm blew down numerous large trees near Catharpin with winds estimated near 69 mph, and trees came down on Sanders Lane on May 22, 2022. A power surge can pit the contactor, the relay that switches the outdoor unit on, and weaken the capacitor beside it. A contactor replaced is $290 to $425.
Dulles logs 32.7 days a year at 90 degrees or hotter, and Manassas, a similar distance away, runs closer to 40.5. July nights bottom out near 66.8 degrees, so a unit gets little rest. The median owner home dates to 1986, but a bit under four in ten were built from 2000 on, and condensers from those years are reaching the age where parts begin to fail.
Electric is the leading heat in ZIP 20143, at 46% of owner homes. Where that means a heat pump, the outdoor unit works through January as well as July, so a cooling complaint and a heating complaint can be the same part. A defrost control that sticks leaves it iced over on a morning near the January average low of 25.2 degrees, and a defrost repair runs $450 to $1,150.