NOAA’s 1991 to 2020 normals for the Warrenton 3 SE station, the nearest long temperature record, about 12 miles south, put the average July high near 85 and count about 21 days a year at 90 or hotter. In July 2019 the heat index across Northern Fauquier passed 110. Those are the afternoons a weak capacitor or a dusty coil finally quits; a spring tune-up finds either one in April.
Across 20198 about six owner homes in ten heat with electricity, usually a heat pump, so the unit facing July already got the house through roughly 98 freezing nights. About one in five heat with propane, and there the cooling is its own outdoor unit sharing the furnace’s blower. Same $99 a system either way.
Then come the storms. NOAA’s storm records list numerous trees down in The Plains on July 12, 2022, Bunker Hill Road among them; dozens of trees and wires down along Halfway Road and The Plains Road in 65 knot gusts on August 7, 2023; more on that road on August 3, 2024; and trees down south of town by Old Tavern Road on July 16, 2025. Four summers running. A big tree near the house puts the outdoor unit within reach of a limb.
After a storm, walk out before you count on it. Look for limbs on the cabinet, flattened fins, the unit shoved off level on its pad, and the disconnect box beside it. If the power went out, give the system a few minutes once it’s back; if it won’t start, reset its breaker once and leave it. FEMA maps a flood zone a few hundred yards from the center of town, and a 2017 flash flood closed Old Tavern Road half a mile out: if water reached the unit, keep it off. Then call us after a storm and we’ll check it all.